The Joint Committee on Redistricting won't likely release their map of the state's new congressional districts until next month at the earliest. But the Review's getting antsy and every other talking head in the commonwealth seems to have offered up their own opinion on the subject, so why not take a gander at which Rep. is most likely to end up on the wrong end of the redistricting ax?
What's the methodology for ranking the Bay State's good 'ole boys and girl here? Seniority matters and the amount money in the bank can denote political strength. Also how much a given congressman is plagued by scandal, or lack thereof, certainly should be taken into consideration. Add those three things up and you get political stature, which seems the most important thing going in this politically infused version of musical chairs.
Other factors that rate? The Beacon Hill boys have disregarded the Voting Rights Act in the past (we're looking at you Tom Finneran), but the Joint Committee on Redistricting co-chairs say they are serious about not running afoul of the law this time round. A district's growth rate is suppose to matter too. And then there's that whole thing about making sure districts are compact and contiguous, though Bay State map drawers have this funny habit of producing strange looking districts that are anything but.
So here's one more guestimate to add to the pile. A ranking of 1 means that Congressman is most likely to loose his or her seat, 10 is the least likely.